Sports gambling can be very profitable if anyone know the tricks typically the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make funds. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a best illustration. I analyzed the West California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that will West California had often the edge in the activity. Yet , My partner and i also noticed that there have been a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This online game possesses all the indicators of being one of the best games involving the year, together with both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming back again from being down major in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning within overtime.
So what’s the action appear like this year?
In case this sport were getting played from some sort of neutral field, West California might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 HIGHWAY games.
These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor regarding WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, the added benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like substantially, but in a near match-up similar to this, that excess point could make the difference between a good push in addition to a loss.
But what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home video games.
Plus if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at home since December 20, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points per game in the home, while averaging only quitting 15. 7 points for every game with home. In case an individual didn’t do the figures, that means since his or her last home damage they already have averaged beating their own oppositions by means of about 34 things per game.
What’s more remarkable, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by simply 13 factors per activity at home considering 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s precisely how…
Almost all of those stats had been accumulated during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They are yet to possessed recent games by which they already have only scored twenty eight, twenty three, 24 points. And the games weren’t against Oh Street. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
Basically the fact that this is still a close video game to phone. Nevertheless ufabet168s.com/ufabet%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%84%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%B5 i look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off that game and certainly not gamble at all. There happen to be better video games this quick with more simple rewards.
The final score of the game was Louisville forty-four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big that they can may possibly still win following producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this activity, people critical concerning wagering saved money these people can put to better employ on coming games.